← AK Grand Crusader's Championship GCC
Water Umbra GuardianTier 3
at AK Grand Crusader's Championship GCC
decks
4
(1.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
35
14-17-4
overall winrate
45.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.2%
avg ELO -0.6 per match
expected value
49.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1246
· median 1192
· range 1131–1468
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
953
Q1 1194
Q3 1398
1685
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.3% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 52.0% | +1.5 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 44.1% | -4.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.9% | -1.0 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.4% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 50.8% | +0.5 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.7% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 71.4% | +16.0 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.2% | -14.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.6% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 35.3% | -11.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.4 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.1 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.4% | -2.6 |
| Fire Oblation | 2.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 43.1% | -6.7 |
| Fire Suited | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
| Water Allies | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 1.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.4% | +3.2 |
| Wind Allies | 1.8% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 55.6% | +5.3 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.3% | +5.3 |
| Slimes | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 1.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.3% | -5.9 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arcane | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Chess | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Seiryuu | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.2% | +9.9 |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ciel | 0.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | -10.8 |
